Egypt vs Iran — World Cup 2026 Group G — Matchday 3: Odds & Prediction

Salah vs Taremi — Egypt and Iran compete for second place in Group G, with the loser facing third-place tiebreaker tension

Kickoff: 26 Jun 2026, 15:00 ET (12:00 PT · 15:00 ET · 20:00 BST)

Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington (cap. 68,740)

Stage: Group G — Matchday 3

Odds: Egypt 2.24 · Draw 3.26 · Iran 3.47

26 Jun 15:00 ET

LUMEN FIELD · SEATTLE, WASHINGTON · 68,740

Egypt

FIFA #29

Iran

FIFA #21

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Editor's prediction for Egypt vs Iran

Mike Betoray

Lead odds analyst · 22 May 2026 · 6 min read

Egypt and Iran both arrive at MD3 with realistic Round of 16 paths. The match is a direct top-2 competition behind Belgium. Salah's likely final World Cup match (if Egypt don't qualify) — both teams will play their strongest XI.

Read full prediction · +150 words

Why Egypt are the favourites

Salah is the highest-quality individual attacker in this match — 67 international goals, Liverpool form 2024-25 included 22 Premier League strikes. Marmoush (Manchester City) provides the elite second forward Salah has lacked across his international career.

Iran's 4-5-1 block-and-counter system is exactly the structure Egypt's 4-3-3 most-easily exploits through wide rotation. Hossam Hassan's tactical approach is fluid enough to punish Iran's deep block.

Where Egypt can get hurt

Mehdi Taremi (Inter Milan) has tournament-pressure scoring quality. His 53 international goals and his Serie A 2024-25 production (12 goals) suggest a 23% scoring-game probability — average for forwards at this level. One Iran chance is enough.

Iran's defensive structure under Ghalenoei (only 4 goals conceded across 10 qualifying matches) is tournament-grade. If the match drifts toward 0-0, Iran's third-place tiebreaker mathematics is more favourable than Egypt's.

The pick

Both teams to score Yes at 1.85 is the value entry. Salah and Taremi will both score-or-not-score; the most-likely outcome is 1-1 or 2-1 either way. Stake 1.5%.

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Where to bet on Egypt vs Iran

Tap any price to bet at that bookmaker. Lime cells show the best price across our partner books. Odds updated Last updated 1 June 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Market

Mostbet

Fonbet

1xBet

Egypt to win

Draw

Iran to win

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score

Egypt -0.5 (Asian handicap — equivalent to Egypt outright win)

2.05 2.09 →2.01

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Head-to-head

Mar 2023 · FriendlyEgypt 1-0 Iran

Single friendly result — useful directional only.

Predicted lineups

Egypt XI (4-3-3) · Hossam Hassan

El Shenawy · Hany, Rabia, Abdelmonem, Hafez · Fathi, Attia, Ashour · Salah (c), Marmoush, Trezeguet

Out: —

Iran XI (4-5-1) · Amir Ghalenoei

Beiranvand · Moharrami, Hosseini, Khalilzadeh, Mohammadi · Ezatolahi, Noorollahi, Jahanbakhsh, Ghoddos, Azmoun · Taremi (c)

Out: —

Frequently asked questions

What time does Egypt vs Iran kick off?⌄

Egypt vs Iran kicks off on 26 Jun 2026, 15:00 ET. That is 12:00 PT · 15:00 ET · 20:00 BST. The venue is Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington, capacity 68,740.

Who is the favourite to win?⌄

Egypt are the favourite at consensus odds around 2.2. The draw is priced around 3.2.

What is the group situation heading into the match?⌄

This is Matchday 3, the final group-stage round. Both teams in Group G arrive with their qualification position partially or fully decided, but the group winner and runner-up determination plus third-place tiebreaker mathematics may still be in play.

Will Mohamed El Shenawy play?⌄

Mohamed El Shenawy is in the squad and is expected to start. He plays his club football at Al-Ahly.

How can I watch Egypt vs Iran?⌄

Broadcast rights for the World Cup 2026 vary by region. In the UK, BBC and ITV split the package; in Germany ARD and ZDF; in the US FOX (English) and Telemundo (Spanish). Streaming is available via the respective broadcasters' platforms.