Croatia vs Ghana — World Cup 2026 Group L — Matchday 3: Odds & Prediction

Modrić's likely final World Cup group match — Croatia close at Lumen Field Seattle against Otto Addo's Ghana

Kickoff: 27 Jun 2026, 20:00 ET (17:00 PT · 20:00 ET · 01:00 BST (28 Jun))

Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington (cap. 68,740)

Stage: Group L — Matchday 3

Odds: Croatia 1.58 · Draw 3.67 · Ghana 6.12

27 Jun 20:00 ET

LUMEN FIELD · SEATTLE, WASHINGTON · 68,740

Croatia

FIFA #10

Ghana

FIFA #73

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Editor's prediction for Croatia vs Ghana

Leo Weber

Football desk editor · 22 May 2026 · 6 min read

Modrić's likely final World Cup group match. The 40-year-old captain — 196 caps, 2018 Ballon d'Or — closes the group stage at Lumen Field Seattle. Croatia likely already second behind England; Ghana need a famous result to qualify for the Round of 16 on third-place tiebreaker mathematics.

Read full prediction · +150 words

Why Croatia are the favourites

Croatia have the deepest experienced midfield at the tournament outside the elite favourites. Modrić, Kovačić (Manchester City), Mario Pašalić (Atalanta) and the next generation (Luka Sučić of Real Sociedad, Petar Sučić of Inter Milan) provide tournament-grade ball-retention.

Ghana's defensive structure under Otto Addo is competent but inconsistent — 9 goals conceded across 10 qualifying matches. Croatia's possession + central penetration is exactly the pattern that Ghana's pressing structure most-easily concedes.

Where Croatia can get hurt

Mohammed Kudus (Tottenham) is Ghana's tournament-grade attacker. His direct dribbling against Croatia's centre-back pairing (Gvardiol-Šutalo) is the credible attack vector. Kudus has the elite individual quality to produce one moment.

Modrić at 40 will likely play the full 90 minutes. The fatigue-rate management means a higher error probability than against the same caliber opponent at the Euro 2024 group stage two years earlier.

The pick

Croatia to win and Over 1.5 goals at 1.85 is the value entry. Modal scoreline 2-0 or 2-1. Modrić's possible final-group moment plus Ghana's defensive vulnerability. Stake 1%.

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Where to bet on Croatia vs Ghana

Tap any price to bet at that bookmaker. Lime cells show the best price across our partner books. Odds updated Last updated 1 June 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Market

Mostbet

Fonbet

1xBet

Croatia to win

Draw

Ghana to win

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score

Croatia -1.0 (Asian handicap — push if Croatia wins by exactly one)

2.20 2.24 →2.16

Our partner bookmakers

Head-to-head

No previous meetings.

Croatia and Ghana have not met in senior international football.

Predicted lineups

Croatia XI (4-3-3) · Zlatko Dalić

Livaković · Stanišić, Gvardiol, Šutalo, Sosa · Modrić, Kovačić, Sučić · Perišić, Kramarić, Vlašić

Out: —

Ghana XI (4-3-3) · Otto Addo

Ati-Zigi · Lamptey, Djiku, Salisu, Mensah · Partey (c), Sulemana · Kudus, Williams, Semenyo · J. Ayew

Out: —

Frequently asked questions

What time does Croatia vs Ghana kick off?⌄

Croatia vs Ghana kicks off on 27 Jun 2026, 20:00 ET. That is 17:00 PT · 20:00 ET · 01:00 BST (28 Jun). The venue is Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington, capacity 68,740.

Who is the favourite to win?⌄

Croatia are the favourite at consensus odds around 1.55. The draw is priced around 3.6.

What is the group situation heading into the match?⌄

This is Matchday 3, the final group-stage round. Both teams in Group L arrive with their qualification position partially or fully decided, but the group winner and runner-up determination plus third-place tiebreaker mathematics may still be in play.

Will Dominik Livaković play?⌄

Dominik Livaković is in the squad and is expected to start. He plays his club football at Girona.

How can I watch Croatia vs Ghana?⌄

Broadcast rights for the World Cup 2026 vary by region. In the UK, BBC and ITV split the package; in Germany ARD and ZDF; in the US FOX (English) and Telemundo (Spanish). Streaming is available via the respective broadcasters' platforms.