Brazil vs Scotland — World Cup 2026 Group C — Matchday 3: Odds & Prediction

Brazil's Group C closer in Miami — Scotland's first World Cup since 1998 builds to the climax against the five-time champions

Kickoff: 25 Jun 2026, 15:00 ET (12:00 PT · 15:00 ET · 20:00 BST)

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida (cap. 64,767)

Stage: Group C — Matchday 3

Odds: Brazil 1.33 · Draw 5.61 · Scotland 11.22

25 Jun 15:00 ET

HARD ROCK STADIUM · MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA · 64,767

Brazil

FIFA #5

Scotland

FIFA #36

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Editor's prediction for Brazil vs Scotland

Vasco Oliveira

Head editor · 22 May 2026 · 6 min read

Brazil's Group C closer at Hard Rock Stadium Miami's heat (forecast 32°C kickoff) is the highest-temperature match of the tournament. Vinícius Jr leads the attack; Neymar's tournament involvement is uncertain. Scotland's tournament-first World Cup match against a top-three favourite — Clarke will play deep, McTominay will look for the one Napoli-style box-arrival.

Read full prediction · +150 words

Why Brazil are the favourites

Brazil have the best attacking talent at the tournament outside Argentina and Spain. Vinícius Jr (Real Madrid), Rodrygo (Real Madrid) and Endrick (Real Madrid) form a Real Madrid-trio that has trained together for two seasons. The understanding is real.

Scotland's defensive structure under Clarke is wing-back-heavy (3-4-2-1) — exactly the structure that Brazil's wide attackers (Vinícius, Rodrygo) most-easily exploit through individual dribbling. McTominay's central press is good but doesn't compensate for the wide structural problem.

Where Brazil can get hurt

Heat (32°C+ at Miami) is the equalising variable. Scotland's pre-tournament training camp included heat acclimatisation; Brazil's preparation has been more typical. The set-piece phase — Robertson's deliveries to McTominay aerially — is Scotland's one structural advantage.

If Brazil's high line gets caught — and it has been caught in 3 of the past 4 friendlies including the Mexico 2-0 March 2024 result — Scotland's transition through Doak and Adams has the speed to exploit. The probability is low but the expected return is high.

The pick

Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 is the better entry than Brazil outright (1.30). The heat factor + Scotland's must-not-lose-by-three calibration. Stake 1.5%.

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Where to bet on Brazil vs Scotland

Tap any price to bet at that bookmaker. Lime cells show the best price across our partner books. Odds updated Last updated 1 June 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Market

Mostbet

Fonbet

1xBet

Brazil to win

Draw

Scotland to win

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score

Brazil -2.0 (Asian handicap — push if Brazil wins by exactly two)

2.10 2.14 →2.06

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Head-to-head

Sep 2018 · FriendlyBrazil 2-0 Scotland

Single friendly result — useful directional context only.

Predicted lineups

Brazil XI (4-3-3) · Carlo Ancelotti

Alisson · Danilo, Marquinhos, Éder Militão, Wendell · Casemiro (c), Bruno Guimarães, Lucas Paquetá · Raphinha, Vinícius Jr., Rodrygo

Out: —

Scotland XI (3-4-2-1) · Steve Clarke

Gunn · Hendry, Hanley, Souttar · Hickey, McGinn, McTominay, Robertson (c) · Adams, Doak · McGregor

Out: —

Frequently asked questions

What time does Brazil vs Scotland kick off?⌄

Brazil vs Scotland kicks off on 25 Jun 2026, 15:00 ET. That is 12:00 PT · 15:00 ET · 20:00 BST. The venue is Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, capacity 64,767.

Who is the favourite to win?⌄

Brazil are the favourite at consensus odds around 1.3. The draw is priced around 5.5.

What is the group situation heading into the match?⌄

This is Matchday 3, the final group-stage round. Both teams in Group C arrive with their qualification position partially or fully decided, but the group winner and runner-up determination plus third-place tiebreaker mathematics may still be in play.

Will Casemiro play?⌄

Casemiro is in the squad and is expected to start. He plays his club football at Manchester United.

How can I watch Brazil vs Scotland?⌄

Broadcast rights for the World Cup 2026 vary by region. In the UK, BBC and ITV split the package; in Germany ARD and ZDF; in the US FOX (English) and Telemundo (Spanish). Streaming is available via the respective broadcasters' platforms.