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France vs Norway — World Cup 2026 Group I — Matchday 3: Odds & Prediction

Mbappé vs Haaland in the tournament's most-anticipated MD3 fixture — France close the group at MetLife, Norway's debut WC peaks against the reigning runners-up

Kickoff: 26 Jun 2026, 15:00 ET (12:00 PT · 15:00 ET · 20:00 BST)
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey (cap. 82,500)
Stage: Group I — Matchday 3
Odds: France 1.68 · Draw 4.08 · Norway 5.10
26 Jun 15:00 ET
METLIFE STADIUM · EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY · 82,500
France
FIFA #2
VS
Norway
FIFA #27
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Editor's prediction for France vs Norway

Vasco Oliveira
Vasco Oliveira
Head editor · 22 May 2026 · 6 min read

MetLife Stadium hosts the tournament's most-anticipated MD3 match. Mbappé vs Haaland — the world's two most-followed strikers in the same match for the first time at international level. Both sides arrive likely qualified; the group-winner determination is the live variable.

Read full prediction · +150 words

Why France are the favourites

France have the deepest squad at the tournament. Mbappé, Kolo Muani, Ousmane Dembélé, Olise — the attacking depth produces 90-minute pressure that Norway's defensive structure cannot maintain. Tchouaméni and Camavinga form the central midfield two.

Norway's defensive line (Ryerson, Ajer, Heggem, Møller Wolfe) is the squad's structural weak point. The Bundesliga-Premier League experience is real but the pace coverage against Mbappé's individual dribbling and Olise's wide creativity is suspect.

Where France can get hurt

Erling Haaland scored 16 qualifying goals — twice any other UEFA player. His central-striker quality against France's centre-back pairing (Saliba-Upamecano) is genuinely problematic. One France defensive error becomes a 1-0 Haaland scenario.

Martin Ødegaard's set-piece delivery from the captain's role is the secondary threat. Norway's set-piece efficiency from Ødegaard-to-Sørloth has produced 4 goals across 8 qualifying matches.

The pick

Over 3.5 goals at 2.40 is the value entry. Mbappé vs Haaland produces a goal-rich match; both sides will play attack-first because of group-winner stakes. Modal scoreline 3-2 France or 2-2. Stake 1.5%.

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Where to bet on France vs Norway

Tap any price to bet at that bookmaker. Lime cells show the best price across our partner books. Odds updated Last updated 1 June 2026, 17:30 UTC.
Market
Mostbet
Fonbet
1xBet
France to win
1.651.68 →1.62
Draw
4.004.08 →3.92
Norway to win
5.005.10 →4.90
Over 2.5 goals
1.651.68 →1.62
Both teams to score
1.651.68 →1.62
France -1.0 (Asian handicap — push if France wins by exactly one)
2.102.14 →2.06

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Head-to-head

Mar 2024 · FriendlyFrance 3-1 Norway
Single recent friendly — useful tournament-build directional.

Predicted lineups

France XI (4-3-3) · Didier Deschamps
Maignan · Koundé, Saliba, Upamecano, T. Hernández · Tchouaméni, Rabiot, Camavinga · Dembélé, Mbappé (c), Doué
Out: —
Norway XI (4-3-3) · Ståle Solbakken
Nyland · Ryerson, Ajer, Heggem, Møller Wolfe · Ødegaard (c), Berge, Thorstvedt · Sørloth, Haaland, Nusa
Out: —

Frequently asked questions

What time does France vs Norway kick off?⌄
France vs Norway kicks off on 26 Jun 2026, 15:00 ET. That is 12:00 PT · 15:00 ET · 20:00 BST. The venue is MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, capacity 82,500.
Who is the favourite to win?⌄
France are the favourite at consensus odds around 1.65. The draw is priced around 4.0.
What is the group situation heading into the match?⌄
This is Matchday 3, the final group-stage round. Both teams in Group I arrive with their qualification position partially or fully decided, but the group winner and runner-up determination plus third-place tiebreaker mathematics may still be in play.
Will Kylian Mbappé play?⌄
Kylian Mbappé is in the squad and is expected to start. He plays his club football at Real Madrid.
How can I watch France vs Norway?⌄
Broadcast rights for the World Cup 2026 vary by region. In the UK, BBC and ITV split the package; in Germany ARD and ZDF; in the US FOX (English) and Telemundo (Spanish). Streaming is available via the respective broadcasters' platforms.

Related

Group I overviewFrance team profileNorway team profile