Colombia vs Portugal — World Cup 2026 Group K — Matchday 3: Odds & Prediction

Group K decider at MetLife Stadium — Ronaldo's last World Cup match vs James Rodriguez's last World Cup match

Kickoff: 27 Jun 2026, 15:00 ET (12:00 PT · 15:00 ET · 20:00 BST)

Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey (cap. 82,500)

Stage: Group K — Matchday 3

Odds: Colombia 3.57 · Draw 3.47 · Portugal 2.04

27 Jun 15:00 ET

METLIFE STADIUM · EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY · 82,500

Colombia

FIFA #13

Portugal

FIFA #7

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Editor's prediction for Colombia vs Portugal

Vasco Oliveira

Head editor · 22 May 2026 · 6 min read

Tournament's most-narratively-loaded MD3 fixture. Ronaldo's last World Cup match (almost certainly) vs James Rodríguez's last World Cup match. Both sides arrive at MetLife Stadium likely qualified — the group winner determination decides a more-favourable Round of 32 opponent.

Read full prediction · +150 words

Why Portugal are the favourites

Portugal have the most-attacking individual depth at the tournament outside the elite favourites. Ronaldo (Al-Nassr, 41 years old), Rafael Leão (AC Milan), Bernardo Silva (Manchester City), Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United) plus the rising next generation (João Neves, Vitinha).

Colombia's defensive structure under Lorenzo is competent but the elite-favourite-quality attacker depth is less. Portugal's central-midfield possession rate (78%+) is unmatched by Colombia's central pair (Lerma, Ríos).

Where Portugal can get hurt

James Rodríguez has rediscovered tournament-pressure form at Minnesota United (MLS) — 7 goals + 11 assists in CONMEBOL qualifying. His central-creative quality against Portugal's elite-pressing setup is the credible Colombia attack vector.

Luis Díaz (Bayern Munich) provides wide acceleration that Portugal's full-backs (João Cancelo on one side, Nuno Mendes on the other) cannot consistently track without overcommitting. Colombia's transitions through the Díaz channel are tournament-grade.

The pick

Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 is the cleanest entry. Both sides will attack — the group-winner stakes plus the legend-narrative produces a goal-rich match. Modal scoreline 2-2 or 2-1 Portugal. Stake 1.5%.

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Where to bet on Colombia vs Portugal

Tap any price to bet at that bookmaker. Lime cells show the best price across our partner books. Odds updated Last updated 1 June 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Market

Mostbet

Fonbet

1xBet

Colombia to win

Draw

Portugal to win

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score

Portugal -0.5 (Asian handicap — equivalent to Portugal outright win)

2.20 2.24 →2.16

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Head-to-head

Sep 2023 · FriendlyPortugal 1-0 Colombia

Single recent friendly — useful directional only.

Predicted lineups

Colombia XI (4-2-3-1) · Néstor Lorenzo

Vargas · Muñoz, Mina, Lucumí, Mojica · Lerma, Ríos · Cuadrado, James (c), Díaz · Córdoba

Out: —

Portugal XI (4-3-3) · Roberto Martínez

Diogo Costa · Cancelo, Rúben Dias, António Silva, Nuno Mendes · Bruno Fernandes, João Neves, Vitinha · Bernardo Silva, Ronaldo (c), Leão

Out: —

Frequently asked questions

What time does Colombia vs Portugal kick off?⌄

Colombia vs Portugal kicks off on 27 Jun 2026, 15:00 ET. That is 12:00 PT · 15:00 ET · 20:00 BST. The venue is MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, capacity 82,500.

Who is the favourite to win?⌄

Portugal are the favourite at consensus odds around 2.0. The draw is priced around 3.4.

What is the group situation heading into the match?⌄

This is Matchday 3, the final group-stage round. Both teams in Group K arrive with their qualification position partially or fully decided, but the group winner and runner-up determination plus third-place tiebreaker mathematics may still be in play.

Will Camilo Vargas play?⌄

Camilo Vargas is in the squad and is expected to start. He plays his club football at Atlas.

How can I watch Colombia vs Portugal?⌄

Broadcast rights for the World Cup 2026 vary by region. In the UK, BBC and ITV split the package; in Germany ARD and ZDF; in the US FOX (English) and Telemundo (Spanish). Streaming is available via the respective broadcasters' platforms.